The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. Increased in October

Staff Report

Wednesday, November 28th, 2018

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.1 percent in October to 112.1 (2016 = 100), following a 0.6 percent increase in September, and a 0.5 percent increase in August.

"The US LEI increased slightly in October, and the pace of improvement slowed for the first time since May," said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Economic Research and Global Research Chair at The Conference Board. "The index still points to robust economic growth in early 2019, but the rapid pace of growth may already have peaked. While near term economic growth should remain strong, longer term growth is likely to moderate to about 2.5 percent by mid to late 2019."

The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the U.S. increased 0.2 percent in October to 104.7 (2016 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in September, and a 0.3 percent increase in August.

The Conference Board Lagging Economic Index® (LAG) for the U.S. increased 0.4 percent in October to 105.5 (2016 = 100), following a 0.2 percent decline in September and a 0.3 percent increase in August.