'Functional Unemployment' Shows Little Change, Says Ludwig Institute
Wednesday, December 18th, 2024
The overall "functional unemployment" rate remained largely unchanged in November, with a slight decline of 0.1 percentage points. However, the functional unemployment rate was marked by mixed trends across demographic groups, led by a 1.3 percentage point decrease for women — contributing to the narrowest gender gap in functional unemployment this year, according to the latest True Rate of Unemployment (TRU) report from the Ludwig Institute for Shared Economic Prosperity (LISEP).
The TRU—a measure of the "functionally unemployed," defined as the jobless plus those seeking, but unable to find, full-time employment paying above poverty wages ($25,000 a year in 2024 dollars) after adjusting for inflation—improved slightly in November, dropping from 24% to 23.9%.In contrast, the official unemployment rate as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics increased by 0.1 percentage points, from 4.1% to 4.2%, over the same period.
Despite slight movement in the overall functional unemployment rate, some demographic groups experienced notable shifts. While the TRU for men increased 0.9 percentage points, to 20.8%—the highest for men in 2024—the rate for women dropped 1.3 percentage points, to 27.5%. This decrease marks the lowest TRU for women in 2024, resulting in the narrowest gender gap for living-wage jobs.
"The recent decrease in women's functional unemployment is a significant and encouraging milestone," said LISEP Chairman Gene Ludwig. "This emerging trend signals a potential shift in the labor market that, and we hope to see continued improvement in the coming year."
The TRU for Hispanic workers improved to its lowest level since June, dropping to 26.9%, while White workers saw a slight decrease, from 22.5% to 22.4%. Conversely, the TRU for Black workers increased 0.7 percentage points, from 26.9% to 27.6%
"This past year has shown us that 'good' economic numbers do not necessarily translate into positive outcomes for everyone," Ludwig said. "The economy is not a monolith, but an amalgamation of different groups, geographies, and demographics. For national policy to be effective, it must be treated as such."